3 prospects · 2016 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects B.J. Goodson (age 22.9 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #70 (range #63-#77, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 43% — real but not disqualifying. The call is a value lean: #70 against a consensus #86 is a 16-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.
Draftanomics projects Su'a Cravens (age 20.8 at draft) as a first-round pick at #28 (range #18-#38, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 25% — manageable. The call is a value lean: #28 against a consensus #40 is a 12-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.
+0.08 boards with him top-100; +0.07 scout consensus; −0.04 charting total career snaps