The editorial.
Model dissents, analyst grades, the draft-night receipts. Written, not generated. New analysis publishes on Tuesdays during cycle (combine through May); monthly off-cycle. RSS + email below.
- 2026-08-03·4 min read
Camp Opens, the Board Shakes Out, and the Model Digs In on Adam Trick
A six-and-a-half-day window produced the board's ugliest slide of the summer and its widest model-versus-room gap yet.
Camps are open, and the board is already twitchy. Between July 27 and August 3, Draftanomics tracked 134 prospects across five snapshots, and the churn wasn’t subtle. This is the first real gut-check of the cycle — the point…
- 2026-07-28·4 min read
Jordan Ross Jumps 20 Spots While the Model Won't Move an Inch
The board fell in love with an LSU edge rusher this week, but Draftanomics's numbers still have him buried outside the top 160.
The 2027 board did not sit still between July 20 and July 27. Across four snapshots and 108 prospects compared, the room reshuffled its EDGE class hard enough that the biggest mover of the week — and maybe of the summer…
- 2026-06-08·3 min read
Better than the consensus, a step shy of the league
Out of sample, Draftanomics's board predicts real NFL career value at 0.55 — ahead of the analyst consensus (0.45) and just behind NFL war rooms (0.58). Here's how it gets there, and where it still falls short.
There’s an honest way to grade a draft board and a flattering one. The flattering one picks a generous yardstick after the fact and reports a number that makes you look like a genius. We used to do that. This is the…