2 prospects · 2017 draft
Decisive factor: 70-pick gap on Draftanomics projection. Reinforced by $8M/yr more in projected second-deal AAV.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Jermaine Eluemunor as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #90 (range #38-#142, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 3% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Mark Glowinski, Mitch Morse, Laken Tomlinson. Ceiling is Laken Tomlinson; floor is Trent Brown. The call is a value lean: #90 against a consensus #117 is a 27-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.
Draftanomics projects Nico Siragusa as a first-round pick at #20 (range #1-#69, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 6% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Mark Glowinski, Jeremiah Poutasi, Trent Brown. Ceiling is Laken Tomlinson; floor is Trent Brown. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 85 spots ahead of the room (board #20 vs consensus #105), and at a 6% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.