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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2017 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DT)
DJ
D.J. Jones
DT · Mississippi
22.3 yo · — · —
EV
Eddie Vanderdoes
DT · UCLA
22.5 yo · 6'3" · 305 lb
IR
Isaac Rochell
DT · Notre Dame
22.0 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

D.J. Jones
Predicted pick
#77
range #77–#234
Bust probability
26%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$13Mmodel
Eddie Vanderdoes
Predicted pick
#110
range #30–#218
Bust probability
40%
Consensus rank
#143
on 5 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Isaac Rochell
Predicted pick
#200
range #117–#251
Bust probability
42%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • D.J. Jones· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Eddie Vanderdoes· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Isaac Rochell· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionD.J. Jones0
  • AthleticismD.J. Jones36
  • AgeD.J. Jones97
  • ConsensusD.J. Jones9
  • Per-play impact (PPA)D.J. Jones50
  • Breakout ageD.J. Jones50
  • WorkloadD.J. Jones100
  • RAS × productionD.J. Jones31

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
D.J. Jones
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Eddie Vanderdoes
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Isaac Rochell
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

D.J. Jones
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Eddie Vanderdoes
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Isaac Rochell
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
D.J. JonesEddie VanderdoesIsaac Rochell· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

D.J. Jones

−0.04 HS recruit rating; +0.03 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100

Eddie Vanderdoes

−0.05 HS recruit rating; +0.04 charting run def grade career avg; +0.03 charting def grade mean

Isaac Rochell

−0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age