3 prospects · 2017 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Cordrea Tankersley (age 23.4 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #113 (range #58-#168, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is mixed: 1 starters-or-better vs 1 backups-or-busts among the 2 comps with known outcomes. Closest comps: Tevin Mitchel, Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, Senquez Golson. Ceiling is Trae Waynes (Starter); floor is Ifo Ekpre-Olomu. Age 23.4 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #67 and the model won't take him before #113 — a 46-spot markdown. The discount is earned — older prospect leads the case against.
+0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg; −0.03 charting catch rate allowed avg
+0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.04 boards with him top-50; +0.03 charting elusive