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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2017 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (LB)
DR
Duke Riley
LB · LSU
22.7 yo · — · —
JE
Jordan Evans
LB · Oklahoma
22.2 yo · — · —
AA
Alex Anzalone
LB · Florida
22.6 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Duke Riley
Predicted pick
#108
range #28–#216
Bust probability
39%
Consensus rank
#150
on 18 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Jordan Evans
Predicted pick
#57
range #126–#223
Bust probability
27%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Alex Anzalone
Predicted pick
#193
range #52–#236
Bust probability
46%
Consensus rank
#153
on 18 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$13Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Duke Riley· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Jordan Evans· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Alex Anzalone· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionDuke Riley0
  • AthleticismDuke Riley36
  • AgeJordan Evans99
  • ConsensusJordan Evans6
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Duke Riley50
  • Breakout ageDuke Riley50
  • WorkloadDuke Riley100
  • RAS × productionDuke Riley31

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Duke Riley
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jordan Evans
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Alex Anzalone
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Duke Riley
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jordan Evans
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Alex Anzalone
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Duke RileyJordan EvansAlex Anzalone· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Duke Riley

+0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 charting total career snaps; −0.03 scout consensus

Jordan Evans

+0.04 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting coverage grade career avg

Alex Anzalone

+0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 HS recruit rating; −0.03 charting total career snaps