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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
RD
Rasul Douglas
CB · West Virginia
22.7 yo · 6'2" · 209 lb
CE
Corn Elder
CB · Miami (FL)
22.5 yo · 5'10" · 183 lb
TT
Teez Tabor
CB · Florida
21.3 yo · 6'0" · 199 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Rasul Douglas
Predicted pick
#72
range #16–#193
Bust probability· rough estimate
17%
Consensus rank
#126
on 12 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$12Mmodel
Corn Elder
Predicted pick
#81
range #27–#135
Bust probability· rough estimate
47%
0%comp-based · 0/4
Consensus rank
#120
on 3 boards
Career arc
Franchise
tier · Day 2
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Teez Tabor
Predicted pick
#87
range #31–#208
Bust probability· rough estimate
48%
Consensus rank
#43
on 22 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Rasul Douglas· CB / S
  • Corn Elder· CB / S
  • Teez Tabor· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionCorn Elder100
  • AthleticismRasul Douglas36
  • AgeRasul Douglas65
  • ConsensusTeez Tabor43
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Rasul Douglas50
  • Breakout ageRasul Douglas50
  • WorkloadRasul Douglas100
  • RAS × productionRasul Douglas53

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Rasul Douglas
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Corn Elder
  • Quandre Diggs
    CB · #200
    Franchise
  • Tevin Mitchel
    CB · #182
    TBD
  • Marcus Peters
    CB · #18
    Franchise
  • Ryan Murphy
    CB · #248
    Bust
  • Steven Nelson
    CB · #98
    Starter
Teez Tabor
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Rasul Douglas
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Corn Elder
Risks
  • Missed entire rookie season
    Drafted #152 by CAR in 2017 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have.
Opportunities
  • Strong comp group
    3 of 4 closest comps with NFL outcomes became Starters or Franchise players: Quandre Diggs, Marcus Peters, Steven Nelson. The historical neighborhood overwhelmingly produced NFL contributors.
Teez Tabor
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Rasul DouglasCorn ElderTeez Tabor· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Rasul Douglas

+0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg; −0.03 charting catch rate allowed avg

Corn Elder

Draftanomics projects Corn Elder (age 22.5 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #81 (range #27-#135, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 47% — elevated. The comp set is strong: 3 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Quandre Diggs (Franchise), Tevin Mitchel, Marcus Peters (Franchise). Ceiling is Marcus Peters (Franchise); floor is Tevin Mitchel. Drafted #152 by CAR in 2017 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a value lean: #81 against a consensus #98 is a 17-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early, with missed entire rookie season the tax on that edge.

Teez Tabor

+0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.05 boards with him top-50; +0.03 scout consensus