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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (LB)
MM
Matt Milano
LB · Boston Col.
22.7 yo · — · —
JB
Jayon Brown
LB · UCLA
22.2 yo · — · —
AW
Anthony Walker
LB · Northwestern
21.7 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Matt Milano
Predicted pick
#75
range #75–#232
Bust probability
30%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$16Mmodel
Jayon Brown
Predicted pick
#131
range #101–#261
Bust probability
39%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Anthony Walker
Predicted pick
#65
range #9–#186
Bust probability
33%
Consensus rank
#125
on 4 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Matt Milano· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Jayon Brown· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Anthony Walker· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionMatt Milano0
  • AthleticismMatt Milano36
  • AgeJayon Brown93
  • ConsensusAnthony Walker22
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Matt Milano50
  • Breakout ageMatt Milano50
  • WorkloadMatt Milano100
  • RAS × productionMatt Milano31

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Matt Milano
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jayon Brown
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Anthony Walker
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Matt Milano
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jayon Brown
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Anthony Walker
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Matt MilanoJayon BrownAnthony Walker· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Matt Milano

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.04 charting run def grade career avg; +0.03 charting def grade mean

Jayon Brown

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age; +0.02 charting coverage grade career avg

Anthony Walker

+0.03 charting def grade mean; +0.03 charting run def grade career avg; −0.02 boards with him top-100