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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2017 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (TE)
MS
Mason Schreck
TE · Buffalo
23.5 yo · — · —
AS
Adam Shaheen
TE · Ashland
23.3 yo · 6'6" · 278 lb
JS
Jeremy Sprinkle
TE · Arkansas
22.7 yo · 6'5" · 252 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Mason Schreck
Predicted pick
#248
range #111–#263
Bust probability
63%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Adam Shaheen
Predicted pick
#73
range #17–#194
Bust probability
26%
Consensus rank
#112
on 19 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Jeremy Sprinkle
Predicted pick
#212
range #71–#255
Bust probability
25%
Consensus rank
#132
on 5 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Mason Schreck· RB / WR / TE
  • Adam Shaheen· RB / WR / TE
  • Jeremy Sprinkle· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionMason Schreck41
  • AthleticismMason Schreck33
  • AgeJeremy Sprinkle65
  • ConsensusAdam Shaheen11
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Mason Schreck50
  • Breakout ageMason Schreck50
  • WorkloadMason Schreck100
  • RAS × productionMason Schreck50

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Mason Schreck
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Adam Shaheen
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jeremy Sprinkle
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Mason Schreck
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Adam Shaheen
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jeremy Sprinkle
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Mason SchreckAdam ShaheenJeremy Sprinkle· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Mason Schreck

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 scout consensus; −0.03 school strength

Adam Shaheen

+0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 age; +0.02 HS recruit rating

Jeremy Sprinkle

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 Power-5 production share; −0.03 scout consensus