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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
SG
Shaquill Griffin
CB · Central Florida
21.8 yo · 6'0" · 194 lb
CE
Corn Elder
CB · Miami (FL)
22.5 yo · 5'10" · 183 lb
AW
Ahkello Witherspoon
CB · Colorado
22.1 yo · 6'3" · 198 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Shaquill Griffin
Predicted pick
#98
range #42–#219
Bust probability· rough estimate
8%
Consensus rank
#127
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$19Mmodel
Corn Elder
Predicted pick
#81
range #25–#202
Bust probability· rough estimate
47%
Consensus rank
#120
on 3 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Ahkello Witherspoon
Predicted pick
#129
range #76–#232
Bust probability· rough estimate
3%
Consensus rank
#129
on 19 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$9Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Shaquill Griffin· CB / S
  • Corn Elder· CB / S
  • Ahkello Witherspoon· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionCorn Elder100
  • AthleticismAhkello Witherspoon98
  • AgeShaquill Griffin96
  • ConsensusShaquill Griffin20
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Shaquill Griffin50
  • Breakout ageShaquill Griffin50
  • WorkloadShaquill Griffin100
  • RAS × productionShaquill Griffin53

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Shaquill Griffin
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Corn Elder
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Ahkello Witherspoon
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Shaquill Griffin
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Corn Elder
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Ahkello Witherspoon
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Shaquill GriffinCorn ElderAhkello Witherspoon· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Shaquill Griffin

−0.04 charting catch rate allowed avg; +0.03 age; +0.03 charting run def grade career avg

Corn Elder

+0.03 charting def grade mean; −0.03 boards with him top-100; −0.02 HS recruit rating

Ahkello Witherspoon

−0.03 charting missed tackle rate avg; +0.03 athleticism (combine); −0.03 charting catch rate allowed avg