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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2017 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (S)
LH
Lano Hill
S · Michigan
21.4 yo · — · —
RF
Rudy Ford
S · Auburn
22.5 yo · — · —
MW
Marcus Williams
S · Utah
20.6 yo · 6'1" · 202 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Lano Hill
Predicted pick
#105
range #25–#213
Bust probability· rough estimate
0%
Consensus rank
#137
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Rudy Ford
Predicted pick
#247
range #110–#262
Bust probability· rough estimate
9%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Marcus Williams
Predicted pick
#26
range #35–#161
Bust probability· rough estimate
7%
Consensus rank
#57
on 19 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$16Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Lano Hill· CB / S
  • Rudy Ford· CB / S
  • Marcus Williams· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionLano Hill0
  • AthleticismLano Hill36
  • AgeLano Hill89
  • ConsensusLano Hill20
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Lano Hill50
  • Breakout ageLano Hill50
  • WorkloadLano Hill100
  • RAS × productionLano Hill53

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Lano Hill
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Rudy Ford
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Marcus Williams
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Lano Hill
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Rudy Ford
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Marcus Williams
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Lano HillRudy FordMarcus Williams· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Lano Hill

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.02 age

Rudy Ford

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.02 scout consensus

Marcus Williams

+0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.04 charting run def grade career avg; +0.03 charting def grade