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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2017 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (LB)
EL
Elijah Lee
LB · Kansas St.
21.2 yo · — · —
TV
Tanner Vallejo
LB · Boise St.
22.4 yo · — · —
JB
Jayon Brown
LB · UCLA
22.2 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Elijah Lee
Predicted pick
#124
range #94–#254
Bust probability
20%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Tanner Vallejo
Predicted pick
#215
range #132–#266
Bust probability
40%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Jayon Brown
Predicted pick
#131
range #101–#261
Bust probability
39%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Elijah Lee· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Tanner Vallejo· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Jayon Brown· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionElijah Lee0
  • AthleticismElijah Lee36
  • AgeElijah Lee94
  • ConsensusElijah Lee6
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Elijah Lee50
  • Breakout ageElijah Lee50
  • WorkloadElijah Lee100
  • RAS × productionElijah Lee31

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Elijah Lee
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Tanner Vallejo
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jayon Brown
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Elijah Lee
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Tanner Vallejo
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jayon Brown
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Elijah LeeTanner VallejoJayon Brown· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Elijah Lee

−0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age; −0.03 charting yards per coverage snap career avg

Tanner Vallejo

−0.03 boards with him top-100; −0.03 charting total career snaps; +0.03 position role purity

Jayon Brown

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age; +0.02 charting coverage grade career avg