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RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2018 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
JM
J'Mon Moore
WR · Missouri
22.9 yo · — · —
JS
Jaleel Scott
WR · New Mexico St.
23.2 yo · — · —
Tiebreaker
High confidence
Take J'Mon Moore over Jaleel Scott.

Decisive factor: a bust risk 45 points lower. Reinforced by 60-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

J'Mon Moore
Predicted pick
#196
range #165–#227
Bust probability
20%
0%0/4 comps
Consensus rank
#154
on 2 boards
Career arc
Contributor
tier · Day 3
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Jaleel Scott
Predicted pick
#256
range #238–#274
Bust probability
65%
0%0/3 comps
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
Contributor
tier · Day 3
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • J'Mon Moore· RB / WR / TE
  • Jaleel Scott· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJ'Mon Moore47
  • AthleticismJ'Mon Moore47
  • AgeJaleel Scott58
  • ConsensusJ'Mon Moore10
  • Per-play impact (PPA)J'Mon Moore50
  • Breakout ageJ'Mon Moore50
  • WorkloadJ'Mon Moore100
  • RAS × productionJ'Mon Moore0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

Shared comps
  • JJ NelsonWR · Franchise→ shared byJ'Mon MooreJaleel Scott
J'Mon Moore
  • Devin Lucien
    WR · #225
    TBD
  • Chris Moore
    WR · #107
    Contributor
  • Demarcus Ayers
    WR · #229
    Bust
  • Mike Thomas
    WR · #206
    Contributor
  • JJ Nelsonshared
    WR · #159
    Franchise
Jaleel Scott
  • Neal Sterling
    WR · #220
    Contributor
  • JJ Nelsonshared
    WR · #159
    Franchise
  • Jakeem Grant
    WR · #186
    Contributor
  • Da'Ron Brown
    WR · #233
    TBD
  • Moritz Boehringer
    WR · #180
    TBD

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

J'Mon Moore
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
  • Comp group has bust risk
    1 of 2 closest comps with NFL outcomes ended up backups or busts: Demarcus Ayers. Mixed signal from history.
Opportunities
  • Consensus says higher
    3 boards have him at mean rank #136; model has him #196 — a 60-spot fade. Analysts converging this much above the model is a tell that the model is undervaluing him.
Jaleel Scott
Risks
  • Missed entire rookie season
    Drafted #132 by BAL in 2018 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have.
  • Older prospect
    Age 23.2 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed.
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
J'Mon MooreJaleel Scott· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

J'Mon Moore

Draftanomics projects J'Mon Moore (age 22.9 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #196 (range #165-#227, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 20% — manageable. The comp set is mixed: 1 starters-or-better vs 1 backups-or-busts among the 2 comps with known outcomes. Closest comps: Devin Lucien, Chris Moore (Contributor), Demarcus Ayers (Bust). Ceiling is JJ Nelson (Franchise); floor is Devin Lucien. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #136 and the model won't take him before #196 — a 60-spot markdown. The discount is earned — comp group has bust risk leads the case against.

Jaleel Scott

Draftanomics projects Jaleel Scott (age 23.2 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #256 (range #238-#274, wide band). Bust probability sits at 65% — scary. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Neal Sterling (Contributor), JJ Nelson (Franchise), Jakeem Grant (Contributor). Ceiling is JJ Nelson (Franchise); floor is Da'Ron Brown. Drafted #132 by BAL in 2018 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a lean fade: the model sits 24 spots below the room's consensus #232 — don't pay sticker price. The discount is earned — missed entire rookie season leads the case against.