3 prospects · 2018 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects James Daniels as a first-round pick at #31 (range #1-#90, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Ryan Kelly, Graham Glasgow, Austin Blythe. Ceiling is Ryan Kelly; floor is Austin Blythe. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #31 and the room's #31 land on the same answer — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Billy Price as a Day 2 pick at #34 (range #1-#93, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Ryan Kelly, Graham Glasgow, Austin Blythe. Ceiling is Ryan Kelly; floor is Austin Blythe. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #34 and the room's #35 land on the same answer — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Scott Quessenberry as a Day 2 pick at #57 (range #8-#106, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Austin Blythe, Graham Glasgow, Andy Gallik. Ceiling is Ali Marpet; floor is Austin Blythe. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 41 spots ahead of the room (board #57 vs consensus #98), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.