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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2018 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
DC
Dylan Cantrell
WR · Texas Tech
23.8 yo · 6'3" · 226 lb
JS
Jaleel Scott
WR · New Mexico St.
23.2 yo · — · —
Tiebreaker
Low confidence — essentially tied
Truly tied on the model.

Dylan Cantrell and Jaleel Scott project within 8 picks of each other, and neither bust risk nor the historical comps can separate them. Take the one at the position of greater need.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Dylan Cantrell
Predicted pick
#255
range #238–#272
Bust probability
65%
0%0/3 comps
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Jaleel Scott
Predicted pick
#256
range #238–#274
Bust probability
65%
0%0/3 comps
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
Contributor
tier · Day 3
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Dylan Cantrell· RB / WR / TE
  • Jaleel Scott· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionDylan Cantrell47
  • AthleticismDylan Cantrell89
  • AgeJaleel Scott58
  • ConsensusDylan Cantrell5
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Dylan Cantrell50
  • Breakout ageDylan Cantrell50
  • WorkloadDylan Cantrell100
  • RAS × productionDylan Cantrell0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

Shared comps
  • Da'Ron BrownWR · TBD→ shared byDylan CantrellJaleel Scott
  • Neal SterlingWR · Contributor→ shared byDylan CantrellJaleel Scott
  • Jakeem GrantWR · Contributor→ shared byDylan CantrellJaleel Scott
Dylan Cantrell
  • Kenny Bell
    WR · #162
    TBD
  • Da'Ron Brownshared
    WR · #233
    TBD
  • Geremy Davis
    WR · #186
    Starter
  • Neal Sterlingshared
    WR · #220
    Contributor
  • Jakeem Grantshared
    WR · #186
    Contributor
Jaleel Scott
  • Neal Sterlingshared
    WR · #220
    Contributor
  • JJ Nelson
    WR · #159
    Franchise
  • Jakeem Grantshared
    WR · #186
    Contributor
  • Da'Ron Brownshared
    WR · #233
    TBD
  • Moritz Boehringer
    WR · #180
    TBD

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Dylan Cantrell
Risks
  • Missed entire rookie season
    Drafted #191 by LAC in 2018 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have.
  • Older prospect
    Age 23.8 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jaleel Scott
Risks
  • Missed entire rookie season
    Drafted #132 by BAL in 2018 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have.
  • Older prospect
    Age 23.2 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed.
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Dylan CantrellJaleel Scott· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Dylan Cantrell

Draftanomics projects Dylan Cantrell (age 23.8 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #255 (range #238-#272, wide band). Bust probability sits at 65% — scary. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Kenny Bell, Da'Ron Brown, Geremy Davis (Starter). Ceiling is Geremy Davis (Starter); floor is Da'Ron Brown. Drafted #191 by LAC in 2018 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #255 sits within 5 spots of the room's #250 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 65% bust probability break ties on draft day.

Jaleel Scott

Draftanomics projects Jaleel Scott (age 23.2 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #256 (range #238-#274, wide band). Bust probability sits at 65% — scary. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Neal Sterling (Contributor), JJ Nelson (Franchise), Jakeem Grant (Contributor). Ceiling is JJ Nelson (Franchise); floor is Da'Ron Brown. Drafted #132 by BAL in 2018 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a lean fade: the model sits 24 spots below the room's consensus #232 — don't pay sticker price. The discount is earned — missed entire rookie season leads the case against.