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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2018 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2018 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (LB)
QP
Quentin Poling
LB · Ohio
23.7 yo · — · —
JJ
Jermaine Carter Jr.
LB · Maryland
23.3 yo · — · —
PK
Peter Kalambayi
LB · Stanford
22.8 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Quentin Poling
Predicted pick
#172
range #115–#265
Bust probability
10%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Jermaine Carter Jr.
Predicted pick
#188
range #105–#239
Bust probability
5%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Peter Kalambayi
Predicted pick
#200
range #117–#251
Bust probability
16%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Quentin Poling· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Jermaine Carter Jr.· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Peter Kalambayi· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionQuentin Poling53
  • AthleticismQuentin Poling48
  • AgePeter Kalambayi41
  • ConsensusPeter Kalambayi4
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Quentin Poling50
  • Breakout ageQuentin Poling50
  • WorkloadQuentin Poling100
  • RAS × productionQuentin Poling0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Quentin Poling
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jermaine Carter Jr.
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Peter Kalambayi
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Quentin Poling
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jermaine Carter Jr.
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Peter Kalambayi
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Quentin PolingJermaine Carter Jr.Peter Kalambayi· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Quentin Poling

−0.05 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100; −0.02 scout consensus

Jermaine Carter Jr.

−0.04 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100; −0.02 scout consensus

Peter Kalambayi

−0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.03 boards with him top-100; −0.02 age