Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2018 board/
  4. Compare

Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2018 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OT, G)
MR
Martinas Rankin
OT · Mississippi St.
— · — · —
AC
Alex Cappa
OT · Humboldt St.
— · — · —
CM
Cole Madison
G · Washington St.
— · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Martinas Rankin
Predicted pick
#71
range #50–#92
Bust probability· rough estimate
0%
Consensus rank
#106
on 16 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Alex Cappa
Predicted pick
#94
range #73–#115
Bust probability· rough estimate
0%
Consensus rank
#83
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$14Mmodel
Cole Madison
Predicted pick
#133
range #114–#152
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
#153
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Martinas Rankin· Offensive line
  • Alex Cappa· Offensive line
  • Cole Madison· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionMartinas Rankin50
  • AthleticismMartinas Rankin40
  • AgeAlex Cappa75
  • ConsensusAlex Cappa23
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Martinas Rankin50
  • Breakout ageMartinas Rankin50
  • WorkloadMartinas Rankin50
  • RAS × productionMartinas Rankin0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Martinas Rankin
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Alex Cappa
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Cole Madison
  • Parker Ehinger
    G · #105
    TBD
  • Joe Dahl
    G · #151
    TBD
  • Rees Odhiambo
    G · #97
    TBD
  • Jeremiah Poutasi
    G · #66
    TBD
  • Joe Thuney
    G · #78
    TBD

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Martinas Rankin
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Alex Cappa
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Cole Madison
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
Opportunities
  • Consensus says higher
    2 boards have him at mean rank #98; model has him #133 — a 34-spot fade. Analysts converging this much above the model is a tell that the model is undervaluing him.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y6Y7Y8Snap share
Martinas RankinAlex CappaCole Madison· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Martinas Rankin

Draftanomics projects Martinas Rankin as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #71 (range #50-#92, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #71 sits within 7 spots of the room's #78 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.

Alex Cappa

Draftanomics projects Alex Cappa as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #94 (range #73-#115, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #94 sits within 8 spots of the room's #102 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.

Cole Madison

Draftanomics projects Cole Madison as a mid-round flyer at #133 (range #114-#152, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Parker Ehinger, Joe Dahl, Rees Odhiambo. Ceiling is Jeremiah Poutasi; floor is Joe Dahl. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #98 and the model won't take him before #133 — a 34-spot markdown. The 34-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.