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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2018 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (G)
BS
Braden Smith
G · Auburn
— · 6'6" · 315 lb
WT
Wyatt Teller
G · Virginia Tech
— · 6'4" · 314 lb
Tiebreaker
High confidence
Take Braden Smith over Wyatt Teller.

Decisive factor: 22-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Braden Smith
Predicted pick
#43
range #7–#176
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
#73
on 17 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$22Mmodel
Wyatt Teller
Predicted pick
#65
range #9–#186
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
#151
on 16 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$22Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Braden Smith· Offensive line
  • Wyatt Teller· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionBraden Smith50
  • AthleticismBraden Smith54
  • AgeWyatt Teller82
  • ConsensusBraden Smith23
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Braden Smith50
  • Breakout ageBraden Smith50
  • WorkloadBraden Smith50
  • RAS × productionBraden Smith100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Braden Smith
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Wyatt Teller
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Braden Smith
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Wyatt Teller
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Braden SmithWyatt Teller· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Braden Smith

+0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 HS recruit rating; +0.03 number of boards ranking him

Wyatt Teller

+0.04 charting gap run block grade; −0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.03 number of boards ranking him