2 prospects · 2019 draft
Decisive factor: a bust risk 20 points lower. Reinforced by 17-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Oli Udoh as a mid-round flyer at #119 (range #98-#140, wide band). Bust probability sits at 20% — manageable. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 74 spots ahead of the room (board #119 vs consensus #193), and at a 20% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.
Draftanomics projects David Edwards as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #102 (range #70-#134, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Jamon Brown, David Sharpe, Caleb Benenoch. Ceiling is Rob Havenstein; floor is Sam Tevi. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #102 and the room's #102 land on the same answer — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.