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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (G)
MJ
Michael Jordan
G · Ohio St.
— · — · —
BP
Ben Powers
G · Oklahoma
— · — · —
MD
Michael Deiter
G · Wisconsin
— · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Michael Jordan
Predicted pick
#136
range #122–#150
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
#104
on 5 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Ben Powers
Predicted pick
#49
range #35–#63
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
#113
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$16Mmodel
Michael Deiter
Predicted pick
#51
range #24–#78
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
#99
on 21 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Michael Jordan· Offensive line
  • Ben Powers· Offensive line
  • Michael Deiter· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionMichael Jordan50
  • AthleticismBen Powers31
  • AgeBen Powers91
  • ConsensusMichael Jordan24
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Michael Jordan50
  • Breakout ageMichael Jordan50
  • WorkloadMichael Jordan50
  • RAS × productionMichael Jordan31

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Michael Jordan
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Ben Powers
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Michael Deiter
  • Nick Martin
    G · #50
    TBD
  • Isaac Asiata
    G · #164
    TBD
  • Nico Siragusa
    G · #122
    TBD
  • Dion Dawkins
    G · #63
    TBD
  • Parker Ehinger
    G · #105
    TBD

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Michael Jordan
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
Opportunities
  • Consensus says higher
    6 boards have him at mean rank #82; model has him #136 — a 54-spot fade. Analysts converging this much above the model is a tell that the model is undervaluing him.
Ben Powers
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
  • Consensus skeptic
    3 boards place him at mean rank #96; model has him #49 — a 47-spot gap. When boards fade a player this hard, the model is usually the one missing something.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Michael Deiter
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y6Y7Snap share
Michael JordanBen PowersMichael Deiter· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Michael Jordan

Draftanomics projects Michael Jordan as a mid-round flyer at #136 (range #122-#150, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #82 and the model won't take him before #136 — a 54-spot markdown. The 54-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.

Ben Powers

Draftanomics projects Ben Powers as a Day 2 pick at #49 (range #35-#63, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 47 spots ahead of the room (board #49 vs consensus #96), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.

Michael Deiter

Draftanomics projects Michael Deiter as a Day 2 pick at #51 (range #24-#78, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Nick Martin, Isaac Asiata, Nico Siragusa. Ceiling is Nick Martin; floor is Isaac Asiata. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a value lean: #51 against a consensus #80 is a 29-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.