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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2019 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (EDGE)
JJ
Joe Jackson
EDGE · Miami (FL)
22.3 yo · — · —
AN
Anthony Nelson
EDGE · Iowa
22.1 yo · — · —
CO
Charles Omenihu
EDGE · Texas
21.7 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Joe Jackson
Predicted pick
#149
range #36–#233
Bust probability
62%
Consensus rank
#80
on 7 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Anthony Nelson
Predicted pick
#113
range #60–#216
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
#114
on 21 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Charles Omenihu
Predicted pick
#138
range #58–#246
Bust probability
13%
Consensus rank
#71
on 21 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Joe Jackson· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Anthony Nelson· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Charles Omenihu· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJoe Jackson38
  • AthleticismAnthony Nelson41
  • AgeAnthony Nelson90
  • ConsensusJoe Jackson21
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Joe Jackson50
  • Breakout ageJoe Jackson50
  • WorkloadJoe Jackson100
  • RAS × productionJoe Jackson0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Joe Jackson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Anthony Nelson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Charles Omenihu
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Joe Jackson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Anthony Nelson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Charles Omenihu
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Joe JacksonAnthony NelsonCharles Omenihu· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Joe Jackson

+0.02 age; +0.02 boards with him top-100; −0.01 conference strength

Anthony Nelson

+0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting catch rate allowed avg; −0.03 charting yards per coverage snap career avg

Charles Omenihu

+0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 production trajectory; −0.02 position role purity