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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2019 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
JM
Jordan Miller
CB · Washington
22.2 yo · 6'1" · 186 lb
RF
Rashad Fenton
CB · South Carolina
22.2 yo · 5'11" · 193 lb
Tiebreaker
High confidence
Take Rashad Fenton over Jordan Miller.

Decisive factor: 125-pick gap on Draftanomics projection. Reinforced by a bust risk 33 points lower.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Jordan Miller
Predicted pick
#214
range #131–#265
Bust probability· rough estimate
53%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Rashad Fenton
Predicted pick
#89
range #89–#246
Bust probability· rough estimate
20%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Jordan Miller· CB / S
  • Rashad Fenton· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJordan Miller84
  • AthleticismJordan Miller37
  • AgeRashad Fenton98
  • ConsensusJordan Miller34
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Jordan Miller50
  • Breakout ageJordan Miller50
  • WorkloadJordan Miller100
  • RAS × productionJordan Miller26

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Jordan Miller
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Rashad Fenton
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Jordan Miller
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Rashad Fenton
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Jordan MillerRashad Fenton· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Jordan Miller

−0.05 charting catch rate allowed avg; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age

Rashad Fenton

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg; +0.03 age