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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2019 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (LB)
DL
David Long
LB · West Virginia
22.5 yo · — · —
BB
Ben Banogu
LB · TCU
23.3 yo · — · —
DD
Deshaun Davis
LB · Auburn
23.3 yo · 5'11" · 234 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

David Long
Predicted pick
#148
range #91–#241
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Ben Banogu
Predicted pick
#92
range #36–#213
Bust probability
21%
Consensus rank
#166
on 21 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Deshaun Davis
Predicted pick
#208
range #125–#259
Bust probability
46%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • David Long· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Ben Banogu· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Deshaun Davis· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionDavid Long38
  • AthleticismBen Banogu41
  • AgeDavid Long70
  • ConsensusDeshaun Davis8
  • Per-play impact (PPA)David Long50
  • Breakout ageDavid Long50
  • WorkloadDavid Long100
  • RAS × productionDavid Long0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
David Long
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Ben Banogu
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Deshaun Davis
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

David Long
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Ben Banogu
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Deshaun Davis
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
David LongBen BanoguDeshaun Davis· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

David Long

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting total career snaps; −0.01 athleticism (combine)

Ben Banogu

+0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; +0.03 charting catch rate allowed

Deshaun Davis

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; +0.03 charting catch rate allowed