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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
DS
Darius Slayton
WR · Auburn
22.3 yo · 6'1" · 190 lb
PC
Parris Campbell
WR · Ohio St.
21.8 yo · 6'0" · 205 lb
TG
Terry Godwin
WR · Georgia
22.5 yo · 5'11" · 184 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Darius Slayton
Predicted pick
#186
range #97–#247
Bust probability
11%
Consensus rank
#163
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$16Mmodel
Parris Campbell
Predicted pick
#79
range #32–#197
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
#62
on 24 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Terry Godwin
Predicted pick
#229
range #92–#244
Bust probability
16%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Darius Slayton· RB / WR / TE
  • Parris Campbell· RB / WR / TE
  • Terry Godwin· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionDarius Slayton32
  • AthleticismParris Campbell92
  • AgeDarius Slayton100
  • ConsensusDarius Slayton23
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Darius Slayton50
  • Breakout ageDarius Slayton50
  • WorkloadDarius Slayton100
  • RAS × productionDarius Slayton0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Darius Slayton
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Parris Campbell
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Terry Godwin
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Darius Slayton
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Parris Campbell
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Terry Godwin
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Darius SlaytonParris CampbellTerry Godwin· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Darius Slayton

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 Power-5 production share; −0.04 HS recruit rating

Parris Campbell

+0.08 boards with him top-100; +0.04 athleticism (combine); −0.04 production trajectory

Terry Godwin

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 HS recruit rating; −0.04 Power-5 production share