2 prospects · 2019 draft
Juwann Winfree and Marcus Green project within 8 picks of each other, and neither bust risk nor the historical comps can separate them. Take the one at the position of greater need.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Juwann Winfree (age 22.6 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #245 (range #232-#258, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is dangerous: 2 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes washed out as backups or busts. Closest comps: Isaiah McKenzie (Bust), Rodney Adams, Stacy Coley (Bust). Ceiling is Tyreek Hill (Starter); floor is Moritz Boehringer. 2 of 3 closest comps with NFL outcomes washed out: Isaiah McKenzie, Stacy Coley. The neighborhood in feature space is dangerous. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #245 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Marcus Green (age 22.7 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #228 (range #210-#246, wide band). Bust probability sits at 77% — scary. The comp set is strong: 3 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Moritz Boehringer, Tyreek Hill (Starter), Chad Williams (Bust). Ceiling is Stefon Diggs (Franchise); floor is Moritz Boehringer. Drafted #203 by ATL in 2019 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #228 stands alone — and with bust risk at 77%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.