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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (TE)
KW
Kahale Warring
TE · San Diego St.
22.1 yo · 6'5" · 252 lb
TW
Trevon Wesco
TE · West Virginia
23.6 yo · 6'3" · 267 lb
Tiebreaker
Low confidence
Take Kahale Warring over Trevon Wesco.

Decisive factor: 148-pick gap on Draftanomics projection. Reinforced by a stronger historical comp arc.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kahale Warring
Predicted pick
#59
range #44–#74
Bust probability
65%
0%0/3 comps
Consensus rank
#136
on 21 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Trevon Wesco
Predicted pick
#207
range #171–#243
Bust probability
0%
0%0/5 comps
Consensus rank
#164
on 1 board
Career arc
Bust
tier · Day 3
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kahale Warring· RB / WR / TE
  • Trevon Wesco· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKahale Warring97
  • AthleticismKahale Warring29
  • AgeKahale Warring88
  • ConsensusKahale Warring23
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kahale Warring50
  • Breakout ageKahale Warring50
  • WorkloadKahale Warring100
  • RAS × productionKahale Warring0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

Shared comps
  • Jeremy SprinkleTE · Bust→ shared byKahale WarringTrevon Wesco
Kahale Warring
  • Jesse James
    TE · #160
    Franchise
  • Jeremy Sprinkleshared
    TE · #154
    Bust
  • Malcolm Johnson
    TE · #195
    Starter
  • Jake Butt
    TE · #145
    TBD
  • Bucky Hodges
    TE · #201
    TBD
Trevon Wesco
  • Jerell Adams
    TE · #184
    Contributor
  • George Kittle
    TE · #146
    Bust
  • Jeremy Sprinkleshared
    TE · #154
    Bust
  • Adam Shaheen
    TE · #45
    Bust
  • Randall Telfer
    TE · #198
    Starter

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kahale Warring
Risks
  • Missed entire rookie season
    Drafted #86 by HOU in 2019 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have.
  • TE slow 40 (4.67s)
    40-yard dash of 4.67s — below-average separation speed for the position.
  • Consensus skeptic
    22 boards place him at mean rank #89; model has him #59 — a 30-spot gap. When boards fade a player this hard, the model is usually the one missing something.
Opportunities
  • Promising comp group
    2 of 3 closest comps with NFL outcomes hit Starter-or-better: Jesse James, Malcolm Johnson.
Trevon Wesco
Risks
  • Older prospect
    Age 23.6 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed.
  • TE slow 40 (4.89s)
    40-yard dash of 4.89s — below-average separation speed for the position.
  • Comp group bust rate
    3 of 4 closest comps with NFL outcomes washed out: George Kittle, Jeremy Sprinkle, Adam Shaheen. The neighborhood in feature space is dangerous.
Opportunities
  • Consensus says higher
    2 boards have him at mean rank #136; model has him #207 — a 70-spot fade. Analysts converging this much above the model is a tell that the model is undervaluing him.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Snap share
Kahale WarringTrevon Wesco· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kahale Warring

Draftanomics projects Kahale Warring (age 22.1 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #59 (range #44-#74, wide band). Bust probability sits at 65% — scary. The comp set is strong: 2 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Jesse James (Franchise), Jeremy Sprinkle (Bust), Malcolm Johnson (Starter). Ceiling is Jesse James (Franchise); floor is Bucky Hodges. Drafted #86 by HOU in 2019 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 30 spots ahead of the room (board #59 vs consensus #89) — but size the bet for the 65% bust probability; this is a price edge, not a safety edge.

Trevon Wesco

Draftanomics projects Trevon Wesco (age 23.6 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #207 (range #171-#243, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is dangerous: 3 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes washed out as backups or busts. Closest comps: Jerell Adams (Contributor), George Kittle (Bust), Jeremy Sprinkle (Bust). Ceiling is Randall Telfer (Starter); floor is Jerell Adams (Contributor). 3 of 4 closest comps with NFL outcomes washed out: George Kittle, Jeremy Sprinkle, Adam Shaheen. The neighborhood in feature space is dangerous. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #136 and the model won't take him before #207 — a 70-spot markdown. The discount is earned — older prospect leads the case against.