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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2019 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
JD
Jamel Dean
CB · Auburn
22.5 yo · 6'1" · 206 lb
DL
David Long
CB · Michigan
21.2 yo · 5'11" · 196 lb
KW
Ken Webster
CB · Mississippi
22.9 yo · 5'11" · 203 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Jamel Dean
Predicted pick
#67
range #11–#188
Bust probability· rough estimate
18%
Consensus rank
#134
on 7 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$9Mmodel
David Long
Predicted pick
#70
range #14–#191
Bust probability· rough estimate
0%
Consensus rank
#96
on 22 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Ken Webster
Predicted pick
#195
range #112–#246
Bust probability· rough estimate
47%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Jamel Dean· CB / S
  • David Long· CB / S
  • Ken Webster· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionDavid Long60
  • AthleticismKen Webster67
  • AgeDavid Long89
  • ConsensusJamel Dean34
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Jamel Dean50
  • Breakout ageJamel Dean50
  • WorkloadJamel Dean100
  • RAS × productionJamel Dean26

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Jamel Dean
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
David Long
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Ken Webster
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Jamel Dean
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
David Long
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Ken Webster
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Jamel DeanDavid LongKen Webster· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Jamel Dean

+0.03 charting coverage grade career avg; +0.03 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating

David Long

+0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.04 charting total career snaps; +0.02 age

Ken Webster

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 age; −0.03 charting catch rate allowed avg