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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
JJ
Jauan Jennings
WR · Tennessee
22.8 yo · 6'3" · 215 lb
AG
Antonio Gandy-Golden
WR · Liberty
22.0 yo · 6'4" · 223 lb
DD
Devin Duvernay
WR · Texas
22.6 yo · 5'10" · 200 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Jauan Jennings
Predicted pick
#191
range #50–#234
Bust probability
32%
Consensus rank
#136
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Antonio Gandy-Golden
Predicted pick
#103
range #47–#224
Bust probability
50%
Consensus rank
#142
on 3 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Devin Duvernay
Predicted pick
#205
range #64–#248
Bust probability
24%
Consensus rank
#101
on 6 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Jauan Jennings· RB / WR / TE
  • Antonio Gandy-Golden· RB / WR / TE
  • Devin Duvernay· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionAntonio Gandy-Golden94
  • AthleticismJauan Jennings37
  • AgeAntonio Gandy-Golden99
  • ConsensusDevin Duvernay20
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Jauan Jennings50
  • Breakout ageJauan Jennings50
  • WorkloadJauan Jennings100
  • RAS × productionDevin Duvernay100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Jauan Jennings
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Antonio Gandy-Golden
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Devin Duvernay
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Jauan Jennings
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Antonio Gandy-Golden
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Devin Duvernay
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Jauan JenningsAntonio Gandy-GoldenDevin Duvernay· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Jauan Jennings

−0.05 HS recruit rating; −0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.02 age

Antonio Gandy-Golden

+0.04 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.03 HS recruit rating

Devin Duvernay

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 HS recruit rating; +0.02 charting blitz btt rate career avg