2 prospects · 2020 draft
Decisive factor: a bust risk 52 points lower. Reinforced by 58-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Cameron Clark as a mid-round flyer at #158 (range #112-#204, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 27% — manageable. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Korey Cunningham (Contributor), Willie Beavers, Ty Sambrailo. Ceiling is Alex Cappa (Franchise); floor is Korey Cunningham (Contributor). No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a lean fade: the model sits 18 spots below the room's consensus #140 — don't pay sticker price. The discount is earned — small-school competition leads the case against.
Draftanomics projects Arlington Hambright as a Day 3 dart throw at #216 (range #199-#233, wide band). Bust probability sits at 78% — scary. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #216 stands alone — and with bust risk at 78%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.