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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (QB)
NS
Nate Stanley
QB · Iowa
22.7 yo · 6'4" · 235 lb
JF
Jake Fromm
QB · Georgia
21.7 yo · 6'2" · 219 lb
Tiebreaker
High confidence
Take Jake Fromm over Nate Stanley.

Decisive factor: 35-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Nate Stanley
Predicted pick
#198
range #115–#249
Bust probability· rough estimate
34%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Jake Fromm
Predicted pick
#163
range #60–#208
Bust probability· rough estimate
35%
Consensus rank
#150
on 23 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Nate Stanley· QB
  • Jake Fromm· QB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionNate Stanley0
  • AthleticismNate Stanley0
  • AgeJake Fromm98
  • ConsensusNate Stanley4
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Nate Stanley50
  • Breakout ageNate Stanley50
  • WorkloadNate Stanley50
  • RAS × productionNate Stanley0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Nate Stanley
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jake Fromm
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Nate Stanley
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jake Fromm
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Nate StanleyJake Fromm· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Nate Stanley

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 charting gap run block grade; +0.02 conference strength

Jake Fromm

+0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting pass grade max; −0.03 Power-5 production share