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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2020 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (C, G)
MH
Matt Hennessy
C · Temple
— · — · —
KI
Keith Ismael
C · San Diego St.
— · — · —
BB
Ben Bartch
G · Saint John's (MN)
— · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Matt Hennessy
Predicted pick
#36
range #1–#169
Bust probability
3%
Consensus rank
#76
on 23 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Keith Ismael
Predicted pick
#143
range #113–#273
Bust probability
65%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Ben Bartch
Predicted pick
#55
range #19–#188
Bust probability
4%
Consensus rank
#158
on 22 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Matt Hennessy· Offensive line
  • Keith Ismael· Offensive line
  • Ben Bartch· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionMatt Hennessy50
  • AthleticismMatt Hennessy74
  • AgeKeith Ismael92
  • ConsensusMatt Hennessy5
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Matt Hennessy50
  • Breakout ageMatt Hennessy50
  • WorkloadMatt Hennessy50
  • RAS × productionMatt Hennessy34

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Matt Hennessy
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Keith Ismael
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Ben Bartch
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Matt Hennessy
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Keith Ismael
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Ben Bartch
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Matt HennessyKeith IsmaelBen Bartch· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Matt Hennessy

+0.07 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age; +0.02 charting gap run block grade

Keith Ismael

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.04 age; +0.03 charting gap run block grade

Ben Bartch

+0.07 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age; +0.03 HS recruit rating