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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
JS
Josiah Scott
CB · Michigan St.
21.1 yo · — · —
CD
Cameron Dantzler
CB · Mississippi St.
21.6 yo · — · —
JJ
Jaylon Johnson
CB · Utah
21.0 yo · 6'0" · 193 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Josiah Scott
Predicted pick
#164
range #51–#248
Bust probability· rough estimate
7%
Consensus rank
#130
on 3 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Cameron Dantzler
Predicted pick
#90
range #43–#208
Bust probability· rough estimate
33%
Consensus rank
#106
on 23 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Jaylon Johnson
Predicted pick
#61
range #35–#165
Bust probability· rough estimate
11%
Consensus rank
#43
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$24Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Josiah Scott· CB / S
  • Cameron Dantzler· CB / S
  • Jaylon Johnson· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJosiah Scott0
  • AthleticismJosiah Scott38
  • AgeJosiah Scott84
  • ConsensusJaylon Johnson20
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Josiah Scott50
  • Breakout ageJosiah Scott50
  • WorkloadJosiah Scott100
  • RAS × productionJosiah Scott0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Josiah Scott
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Cameron Dantzler
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jaylon Johnson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Josiah Scott
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Cameron Dantzler
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jaylon Johnson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Josiah ScottCameron DantzlerJaylon Johnson· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Josiah Scott

−0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.03 charting catch rate allowed avg

Cameron Dantzler

+0.07 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting pass rush grade max; −0.02 charting catch rate allowed avg

Jaylon Johnson

+0.08 boards with him top-100; −0.03 charting catch rate allowed avg; −0.02 charting pressures per rush career x