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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (EDGE)
KW
Kenny Willekes
EDGE · Michigan St.
22.8 yo · — · —
DT
Darrell Taylor
EDGE · Tennessee
23.1 yo · — · —
Tiebreaker
High confidence
Take Kenny Willekes over Darrell Taylor.

Decisive factor: 83-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kenny Willekes
Predicted pick
#121
range #47–#219
Bust probability
25%
Consensus rank
#135
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Darrell Taylor
Predicted pick
#204
range #63–#247
Bust probability
20%
Consensus rank
#140
on 23 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kenny Willekes· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Darrell Taylor· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKenny Willekes79
  • AthleticismKenny Willekes29
  • AgeKenny Willekes60
  • ConsensusKenny Willekes19
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kenny Willekes50
  • Breakout ageKenny Willekes50
  • WorkloadKenny Willekes100
  • RAS × productionKenny Willekes0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kenny Willekes
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Darrell Taylor
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kenny Willekes
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Darrell Taylor
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kenny WillekesDarrell Taylor· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kenny Willekes

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 HS recruit rating; +0.02 conference strength

Darrell Taylor

+0.08 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; −0.02 scout consensus