3 prospects · 2020 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Carlos Davis (age 23.7 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #213 (range #186-#240, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 45% — real but not disqualifying. The comp set is strong: 4 of 5 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Grover Stewart (Bust), David Onyemata (Starter), Xavier Cooper (Franchise). Ceiling is Xavier Cooper (Franchise); floor is Darius Kilgo (Starter). Age 23.7 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #213 sits within 7 spots of the room's #206 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 45% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Bravvion Roy (age 23.5 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #203 (range #186-#220, wide band). Bust probability sits at 4% — low. The comp set is strong: 3 of 5 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Anthony Zettel (Starter), Darius Kilgo (Starter), Vincent Taylor (Bust). Ceiling is David Parry (Franchise); floor is Darius Kilgo (Starter). Age 23.5 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #203 stands alone — and with bust risk at 4%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Broderick Washington Jr. (age 23.4 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #225 (range #190-#260, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 10% — low. The comp set is strong: 3 of 5 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Sebastian Joseph-Day (Starter), Jullian Taylor (Bust), B.J. Hill (Starter). Ceiling is B.J. Hill (Starter); floor is Sebastian Joseph-Day (Starter). Age 23.4 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #225 stands alone — and with bust risk at 10%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.