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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2020 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DT)
NG
Neville Gallimore
DT · Oklahoma
23.3 yo · — · —
DH
DaVon Hamilton
DT · Ohio St.
23.2 yo · — · —
LM
Larrell Murchison
DT · North Carolina St.
23.0 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Neville Gallimore
Predicted pick
#66
range #19–#184
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
#44
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
DaVon Hamilton
Predicted pick
#119
range #39–#227
Bust probability
15%
Consensus rank
#92
on 14 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel
Larrell Murchison
Predicted pick
#196
range #113–#247
Bust probability
28%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Neville Gallimore· EDGE / DL / LB
  • DaVon Hamilton· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Larrell Murchison· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionNeville Gallimore0
  • AthleticismNeville Gallimore29
  • AgeNeville Gallimore42
  • ConsensusNeville Gallimore30
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Neville Gallimore50
  • Breakout ageNeville Gallimore50
  • WorkloadNeville Gallimore100
  • RAS × productionNeville Gallimore0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Neville Gallimore
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
DaVon Hamilton
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Larrell Murchison
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Neville Gallimore
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
DaVon Hamilton
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Larrell Murchison
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Neville GallimoreDaVon HamiltonLarrell Murchison· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Neville Gallimore

+0.08 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.02 boards with him top-50

DaVon Hamilton

−0.07 charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg; +0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age

Larrell Murchison

−0.05 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 HS recruit rating