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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2020 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (LB)
EW
Evan Weaver
LB · California
21.7 yo · 6'2" · 237 lb
ZB
Zack Baun
LB · Wisconsin
23.3 yo · 6'2" · 238 lb
MH
Malik Harrison
LB · Ohio St.
22.1 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Evan Weaver
Predicted pick
#79
range #32–#197
Bust probability
45%
Consensus rank
#87
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$10Mmodel
Zack Baun
Predicted pick
#44
range #22–#81
Bust probability
1%
Consensus rank
#37
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$12Mmodel
Malik Harrison
Predicted pick
#67
range #11–#188
Bust probability
9%
Consensus rank
#97
on 23 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Evan Weaver· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Zack Baun· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Malik Harrison· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionEvan Weaver65
  • AthleticismEvan Weaver29
  • AgeEvan Weaver93
  • ConsensusZack Baun19
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Evan Weaver50
  • Breakout ageEvan Weaver50
  • WorkloadEvan Weaver100
  • RAS × productionMalik Harrison42

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Evan Weaver
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Zack Baun
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Malik Harrison
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Evan Weaver
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Zack Baun
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Malik Harrison
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Evan WeaverZack BaunMalik Harrison· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Evan Weaver

+0.04 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 HS recruit rating

Zack Baun

+0.07 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; −0.02 charting yards per coverage snap career avg

Malik Harrison

+0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.02 age; −0.02 scout consensus