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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
DH
Darnay Holmes
CB · UCLA
21.8 yo · 5'10" · 195 lb
KV
Kindle Vildor
CB · Georgia Southern
22.4 yo · 5'10" · 191 lb
TJ
Troy Pride Jr.
CB · Notre Dame
22.3 yo · 5'11" · 193 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Darnay Holmes
Predicted pick
#149
range #36–#233
Bust probability· rough estimate
33%
Consensus rank
#113
on 7 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Kindle Vildor
Predicted pick
#179
range #122–#272
Bust probability· rough estimate
28%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Troy Pride Jr.
Predicted pick
#115
range #35–#223
Bust probability· rough estimate
32%
Consensus rank
#147
on 23 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Darnay Holmes· CB / S
  • Kindle Vildor· CB / S
  • Troy Pride Jr.· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionDarnay Holmes0
  • AthleticismDarnay Holmes38
  • AgeDarnay Holmes87
  • ConsensusDarnay Holmes10
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Darnay Holmes50
  • Breakout ageDarnay Holmes50
  • WorkloadKindle Vildor100
  • RAS × productionDarnay Holmes0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Darnay Holmes
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Kindle Vildor
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Troy Pride Jr.
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Darnay Holmes
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Kindle Vildor
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Troy Pride Jr.
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Darnay HolmesKindle VildorTroy Pride Jr.· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Darnay Holmes

+0.03 age; +0.02 boards with him top-100; +0.02 HS recruit rating

Kindle Vildor

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age; −0.02 charting missed tackle rate

Troy Pride Jr.

+0.08 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.03 scout consensus