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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2020 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (LB)
CC
Carter Coughlin
LB · Minnesota
22.8 yo · 6'3" · 236 lb
CB
Cam Brown
LB · Penn St.
22.1 yo · — · —
MH
Malik Harrison
LB · Ohio St.
22.1 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Carter Coughlin
Predicted pick
#128
range #98–#258
Bust probability
11%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Cam Brown
Predicted pick
#187
range #46–#230
Bust probability
15%
Consensus rank
#52
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Malik Harrison
Predicted pick
#67
range #28–#106
Bust probability
0%
0%0/4 comps
Consensus rank
#97
on 23 boards
Career arc
Bust
tier · Day 2
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Carter Coughlin· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Cam Brown· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Malik Harrison· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionCarter Coughlin0
  • AthleticismCarter Coughlin100
  • AgeCam Brown84
  • ConsensusCarter Coughlin8
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Carter Coughlin50
  • Breakout ageCarter Coughlin50
  • WorkloadCarter Coughlin100
  • RAS × productionCarter Coughlin93

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Carter Coughlin
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Cam Brown
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Malik Harrison
  • Blake Martinez
    LB · #131
    Starter
  • Shaun Dion Hamilton
    LB · #197
    Contributor
  • Raekwon McMillan
    LB · #54
    TBD
  • Jordan Evans
    LB · #193
    Bust
  • Duke Riley
    LB · #75
    Bust

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Carter Coughlin
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Cam Brown
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Malik Harrison
Risks
  • Comp group bust rate
    2 of 3 closest comps with NFL outcomes washed out: Jordan Evans, Duke Riley. The neighborhood in feature space is dangerous.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y6Snap share
Carter CoughlinCam BrownMalik Harrison· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Carter Coughlin

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.04 athleticism (RAS); +0.03 charting pass rush grade max

Cam Brown

−0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age; −0.02 HS recruit rating

Malik Harrison

Draftanomics projects Malik Harrison (age 22.1 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #67 (range #28-#106, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is dangerous: 2 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes washed out as backups or busts. Closest comps: Blake Martinez (Starter), Shaun Dion Hamilton (Contributor), Raekwon McMillan. Ceiling is Blake Martinez (Starter); floor is Shaun Dion Hamilton (Contributor). 2 of 3 closest comps with NFL outcomes washed out: Jordan Evans, Duke Riley. The neighborhood in feature space is dangerous. The call is a value lean: #67 against a consensus #83 is a 16-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early, with comp group bust rate the tax on that edge.