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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2020 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (EDGE)
DT
Darrell Taylor
EDGE · Tennessee
23.1 yo · — · —
JS
Jason Strowbridge
EDGE · North Carolina
23.6 yo · — · —
JG
Jonathan Greenard
EDGE · Florida
22.9 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Darrell Taylor
Predicted pick
#204
range #63–#247
Bust probability
20%
Consensus rank
#140
on 23 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Jason Strowbridge
Predicted pick
#207
range #66–#250
Bust probability
24%
Consensus rank
#148
on 4 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Jonathan Greenard
Predicted pick
#148
range #35–#232
Bust probability
17%
Consensus rank
#119
on 26 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$21Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Darrell Taylor· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Jason Strowbridge· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Jonathan Greenard· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionDarrell Taylor0
  • AthleticismDarrell Taylor29
  • AgeJonathan Greenard37
  • ConsensusJonathan Greenard2
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Darrell Taylor50
  • Breakout ageDarrell Taylor50
  • WorkloadDarrell Taylor100
  • RAS × productionDarrell Taylor0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Darrell Taylor
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jason Strowbridge
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jonathan Greenard
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Darrell Taylor
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jason Strowbridge
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jonathan Greenard
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Darrell TaylorJason StrowbridgeJonathan Greenard· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Darrell Taylor

+0.08 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; −0.02 scout consensus

Jason Strowbridge

−0.05 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100; −0.02 scout consensus

Jonathan Greenard

+0.08 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; −0.02 charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg