Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2020 board/
  4. Compare

Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (EDGE)
AR
Alton Robinson
EDGE · Syracuse
21.9 yo · — · —
DW
D.J. Wonnum
EDGE · South Carolina
22.5 yo · — · —
DT
Darrell Taylor
EDGE · Tennessee
23.1 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Alton Robinson
Predicted pick
#135
range #55–#243
Bust probability
64%
Consensus rank
#78
on 3 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
D.J. Wonnum
Predicted pick
#116
range #86–#246
Bust probability
16%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$12Mmodel
Darrell Taylor
Predicted pick
#204
range #165–#243
Bust probability
65%
0%0/4 comps
Consensus rank
#140
on 23 boards
Career arc
Bust
tier · Day 3
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Alton Robinson· EDGE / DL / LB
  • D.J. Wonnum· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Darrell Taylor· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionAlton Robinson0
  • AthleticismAlton Robinson60
  • AgeD.J. Wonnum98
  • ConsensusAlton Robinson19
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Alton Robinson50
  • Breakout ageAlton Robinson50
  • WorkloadAlton Robinson100
  • RAS × productionAlton Robinson74

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Alton Robinson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
D.J. Wonnum
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Darrell Taylor
  • B.J. Dubose
    EDGE · #193
    TBD
  • Breeland Speaks
    EDGE · #46
    Bust
  • Geneo Grissom
    EDGE · #97
    Contributor
  • Trevon Young
    EDGE · #205
    Bust
  • Za'Darius Smith
    EDGE · #122
    Franchise

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Alton Robinson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
D.J. Wonnum
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Darrell Taylor
Risks
  • Missed entire rookie season
    Drafted #48 by SEA in 2020 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have.
  • Older prospect
    Age 23.1 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed.
  • Average-to-below athletic profile
    RAS 4.71 (47th percentile at EDGE). Athleticism is average at best for the position.
Opportunities
  • Consensus says higher
    24 boards have him at mean rank #89; model has him #204 — a 115-spot fade. Analysts converging this much above the model is a tell that the model is undervaluing him.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y6Snap share
Alton RobinsonD.J. WonnumDarrell Taylor· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Alton Robinson

+0.03 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100; −0.03 charting catch rate allowed avg

D.J. Wonnum

+0.04 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.02 conference strength

Darrell Taylor

Draftanomics projects Darrell Taylor (age 23.1 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #204 (range #165-#243, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 65% — scary. The comp set is dangerous: 2 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes washed out as backups or busts. Closest comps: B.J. Dubose, Breeland Speaks (Bust), Geneo Grissom (Contributor). Ceiling is Za'Darius Smith (Franchise); floor is B.J. Dubose. Drafted #48 by SEA in 2020 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #89 and the model won't take him before #204 — a 115-spot markdown. The discount is earned — missed entire rookie season leads the case against.