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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2021 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
CB
Camryn Bynum
CB · California
22.8 yo · 6'0" · 196 lb
TN
Tre Norwood
CB · Oklahoma
22.0 yo · 5'11" · 192 lb
KT
Keith Taylor
CB · Washington
22.4 yo · 6'2" · 187 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Camryn Bynum
Predicted pick
#93
range #37–#214
Bust probability· rough estimate
21%
Consensus rank
#58
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$14Mmodel
Tre Norwood
Predicted pick
#115
range #85–#245
Bust probability· rough estimate
27%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Keith Taylor
Predicted pick
#229
range #92–#244
Bust probability· rough estimate
24%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Camryn Bynum· CB / S
  • Tre Norwood· CB / S
  • Keith Taylor· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionCamryn Bynum0
  • AthleticismCamryn Bynum21
  • AgeKeith Taylor88
  • ConsensusCamryn Bynum28
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Camryn Bynum50
  • Breakout ageCamryn Bynum50
  • WorkloadCamryn Bynum100
  • RAS × productionCamryn Bynum77

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Camryn Bynum
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Tre Norwood
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Keith Taylor
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Camryn Bynum
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Tre Norwood
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Keith Taylor
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Camryn BynumTre NorwoodKeith Taylor· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Camryn Bynum

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 production trajectory; +0.02 charting total career snaps

Tre Norwood

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.04 charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg; +0.03 charting run def grade career avg

Keith Taylor

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.02 age