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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2021 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2021 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OL)
SF
Stone Forsythe
OL · Florida
— · 6'8" · 307 lb
TH
Trey Hill
OL · Georgia
— · 6'3" · 319 lb
PS
Penei Sewell
OL · Oregon
— · 6'4" · 331 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Stone Forsythe
Predicted pick
#104
range #57–#222
Bust probability· rough estimate
3%
Consensus rank
#81
on 5 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Trey Hill
Predicted pick
#79
range #32–#197
Bust probability· rough estimate
54%
Consensus rank
#65
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Penei Sewell
Predicted pick
#11
range #1–#54
Bust probability· rough estimate
3%
Consensus rank
#3
on 28 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$28Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Stone Forsythe· Offensive line
  • Trey Hill· Offensive line
  • Penei Sewell· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionStone Forsythe50
  • AthleticismPenei Sewell23
  • AgeTrey Hill85
  • ConsensusPenei Sewell100
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Stone Forsythe50
  • Breakout ageStone Forsythe50
  • WorkloadStone Forsythe50
  • RAS × productionStone Forsythe0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Stone Forsythe
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Trey Hill
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Penei Sewell
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Stone Forsythe
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Trey Hill
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Penei Sewell
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Stone ForsytheTrey HillPenei Sewell· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Stone Forsythe

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.03 age

Trey Hill

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age; +0.03 HS recruit rating

Penei Sewell

+0.12 boards with him top-100; +0.08 scout consensus; +0.02 boards with him top-50