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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2021 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2021 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
KT
Kadarius Toney
WR · Florida
22.3 yo · 5'11" · 193 lb
CP
Cornell Powell
WR · Clemson
23.5 yo · 6'0" · 204 lb
Tiebreaker
High confidence
Take Kadarius Toney over Cornell Powell.

Decisive factor: 218-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kadarius Toney
Predicted pick
#27
range #15–#70
Bust probability
8%
Consensus rank
#34
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Cornell Powell
Predicted pick
#245
range #89–#244
Bust probability
9%
Consensus rank
#64
on 3 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kadarius Toney· RB / WR / TE
  • Cornell Powell· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKadarius Toney0
  • AthleticismKadarius Toney19
  • AgeKadarius Toney64
  • ConsensusKadarius Toney27
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kadarius Toney50
  • Breakout ageKadarius Toney50
  • WorkloadKadarius Toney100
  • RAS × productionKadarius Toney0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kadarius Toney
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Cornell Powell
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kadarius Toney
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Cornell Powell
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kadarius ToneyCornell Powell· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kadarius Toney

+0.12 boards with him top-100; −0.03 production trajectory; +0.03 charting pass grade max

Cornell Powell

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.03 Power-5 production share