3 prospects · 2021 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Divine Deablo (age 22.7 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #91 (range #73-#109, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 2 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Jamel Dean (Starter), Howard Wilson, D.J. White (Starter). Ceiling is Jamel Dean (Starter); floor is Dane Cruikshank (Contributor). The call is a hold at slot: the model's #91 sits within 10 spots of the room's #101 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Benjamin St-Juste (age 23.6 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #204 (range #170-#238, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is dangerous: 2 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes washed out as backups or busts. Closest comps: Jaquan Johnson (Backup), Lonnie Johnson Jr. (Starter), Tim Harris (Bust). Ceiling is Lonnie Johnson Jr. (Starter); floor is Jaquan Johnson (Backup). 2 of 3 closest comps with NFL outcomes washed out: Jaquan Johnson, Tim Harris. The neighborhood in feature space is dangerous. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #87 and the model won't take him before #204 — a 117-spot markdown. The discount is earned — older prospect leads the case against.
Draftanomics projects Camryn Bynum (age 22.8 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #93 (range #62-#124, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 2 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Rock Ya-Sin (Starter), Dane Cruikshank (Contributor), Artie Burns (Starter). Ceiling is Artie Burns (Starter); floor is Dane Cruikshank (Contributor). 40-yard dash of 4.58s — historically corners above 4.55s rarely become NFL starters. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #93 and the room's #94 land on the same answer — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.