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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2022 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (RB)
KI
Keaontay Ingram
RB · USC
22.5 yo · 6'0" · 221 lb
TD
Tyrion Davis-Price
RB · LSU
21.5 yo · 6'0" · 211 lb
SC
Snoop Conner
RB · Mississippi
21.7 yo · 5'10" · 222 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Keaontay Ingram
Predicted pick
#175
range #118–#268
Bust probability
22%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Tyrion Davis-Price
Predicted pick
#231
range #94–#246
Bust probability
33%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Snoop Conner
Predicted pick
#248
range #111–#263
Bust probability
49%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Keaontay Ingram· RB / WR / TE
  • Tyrion Davis-Price· RB / WR / TE
  • Snoop Conner· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKeaontay Ingram0
  • AthleticismKeaontay Ingram58
  • AgeTyrion Davis-Price83
  • ConsensusKeaontay Ingram14
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Keaontay Ingram50
  • Breakout ageKeaontay Ingram50
  • WorkloadKeaontay Ingram100
  • RAS × productionKeaontay Ingram100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Keaontay Ingram
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Tyrion Davis-Price
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Snoop Conner
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Keaontay Ingram
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Tyrion Davis-Price
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Snoop Conner
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Keaontay IngramTyrion Davis-PriceSnoop Conner· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Keaontay Ingram

−0.04 HS recruit rating; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 athlete×producer interaction

Tyrion Davis-Price

−0.04 production trajectory; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 scout consensus

Snoop Conner

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 charting total career snaps; −0.03 scout consensus