2 prospects · 2022 draft
Decisive factor: a bust risk 34 points lower.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
−0.08 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 scout consensus
Draftanomics projects Chris Oladokun (age 24.6 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #223 (range #191-#255, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 65% — scary. The comp set is dangerous: 4 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes washed out as backups or busts. Closest comps: Ryan Finley (Backup), Jake Luton (Bust), Easton Stick (Contributor). Ceiling is Easton Stick (Contributor); floor is Ryan Finley (Backup). Drafted #241 by PIT in 2022 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #223 stands alone — and with bust risk at 65%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.