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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2022 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OL, WR)
KG
Kenyon Green
OL · Texas A&M
— · — · —
TL
Tyler Linderbaum
OL · Iowa
— · — · —
JM
John Metchie
WR · Alabama
21.8 yo · 5'11" · 187 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kenyon Green
Predicted pick
#27
range #15–#70
Bust probability· rough estimate
6%
Consensus rank
#25
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Tyler Linderbaum
Predicted pick
#11
range #1–#54
Bust probability· rough estimate
3%
Consensus rank
#14
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$26Mmodel
John Metchie
Predicted pick
#54
range #28–#158
Bust probability
1%
Consensus rank
#71
on 24 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kenyon Green· Offensive line
  • Tyler Linderbaum· Offensive line
  • John Metchie· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKenyon Green50
  • AthleticismTyler Linderbaum17
  • AgeJohn Metchie79
  • ConsensusTyler Linderbaum80
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kenyon Green50
  • Breakout ageKenyon Green50
  • WorkloadJohn Metchie100
  • RAS × productionKenyon Green0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kenyon Green
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Tyler Linderbaum
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
John Metchie
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kenyon Green
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Tyler Linderbaum
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
John Metchie
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kenyon GreenTyler LinderbaumJohn Metchie· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kenyon Green

+0.08 boards with him top-100; +0.04 boards with him top-50; +0.04 scout consensus

Tyler Linderbaum

+0.08 boards with him top-100; +0.06 scout consensus; +0.04 boards with him top-50

John Metchie

+0.09 boards with him top-100; −0.03 production trajectory; −0.03 athleticism (RAS)