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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2022 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OL)
JE
Joshua Ezeudu
OL · North Carolina
— · — · —
SR
Sean Rhyan
OL · UCLA
— · — · —
LT
Luke Tenuta
OL · Virginia Tech
— · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Joshua Ezeudu
Predicted pick
#93
range #46–#211
Bust probability· rough estimate
4%
Consensus rank
#101
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Sean Rhyan
Predicted pick
#36
range #1–#169
Bust probability· rough estimate
3%
Consensus rank
#75
on 24 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel
Luke Tenuta
Predicted pick
#209
range #126–#260
Bust probability· rough estimate
18%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Joshua Ezeudu· Offensive line
  • Sean Rhyan· Offensive line
  • Luke Tenuta· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJoshua Ezeudu50
  • AthleticismSean Rhyan48
  • AgeJoshua Ezeudu70
  • ConsensusJoshua Ezeudu21
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Joshua Ezeudu50
  • Breakout ageJoshua Ezeudu50
  • WorkloadJoshua Ezeudu50
  • RAS × productionJoshua Ezeudu63

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Joshua Ezeudu
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Sean Rhyan
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Luke Tenuta
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Joshua Ezeudu
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Sean Rhyan
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Luke Tenuta
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Joshua EzeuduSean RhyanLuke Tenuta· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Joshua Ezeudu

+0.03 age; −0.02 boards with him top-100; +0.02 HS recruit rating

Sean Rhyan

+0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting gap run block grade; +0.03 age

Luke Tenuta

−0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age; −0.02 scout consensus