Edge rusher EDGE
Sacks + TFLs per game + first-step quickness. Pass-rush production genuinely predicts at this position — one of the model's most trusted groups.
Likeliest career, by the outcome model.
How many edge rushers land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.
The board.
All 19 edge rushers with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2021 board, tier by tier.
No blue-chip edge rusher this cycle — Odafe Oweh is the class's best, and he carries the next grade down.
An empty tier, honestly labeled — no edge rusher earns a first-round grade this cycle.
Two names carry a Day 2 grade — Odafe Oweh in front at No. 94, Cameron Sample close behind at No. 100. After Sample the board breathes — Ronnie Perkins projects 11 picks later. And the floor is solid: the bust model, reliable for edge rushers, clears everyone here.
This is where the class lives: 17 edge rushers carry a Day 3 grade, with Ronnie Perkins out of Oklahoma at the front of the line at No. 111 overall. The room is higher on Derrick Barnes than we are: consensus No. 33 to our No. 134.