Tight end TE
Athletic profile + receiving share + age. Volatile because role usage swings the projection.
Likeliest career, by the outcome model.
How many tight ends land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.
The board.
All 12 tight ends with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2020 board, tier by tier.
The top shelf is bare: no tight end in the 2020 class earns a blue-chip grade.
Nobody here. The class simply skips the first-round tier at tight end.
Only Adam Trautman carries a Day 2 grade at tight end — the Dayton product projects No. 88 overall. The drop to Brycen Hopkins is 19 projected picks: a step, not a cliff.
Brycen Hopkins leads a 11-deep Day 3 group — the meat of the TE board — starting at a projected No. 107 overall. Devin Asiasi carries the tier's risk, a 72 percent bust probability from a model with real signal at tight end.